AVY Base

New Zealand · 13.10.2026

Fiordland

Level 2: 1800 m–and above · Level 2: 1200 m–1800 m

Valid until 14.10.2026 14:45

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EAWS avalanche danger level 2

Moderate

Danger level

2 — Moderate

Snowpack stability

The snowpack is only moderately well bonded on some steep slopes; otherwise well bonded in general.

Likelihood of triggering

Triggering is possible, primarily from high additional loads, particularly on the indicated steep slopes. Very large natural avalanches are unlikely.

Avalanche problems

  • Wet snow

    Wet snow

    The avalanche problem is related to a weakening of the snowpack due to the presence of liquid water. Water infiltrates the snowpack due to melt or rain.

    Good timing and trip planning are important. Consider avalanche runout zones.

    Affected aspects

    NortheastEastSoutheastSouthSouthwestWestNorthwestNorth
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Stability

8th -12th October - freezing levels have been above 2000m for several days with only a small amount of cooling at night. There has been widespread visible melt. 7-October Rain and freezing levels back up to around 2500m. Expect a wet melting snowpack 6 October - Most snow in Fiordland will be frozen after 2 days of the freezing level being close to the snowline and strong winds. 2nd October- up to about 50mm rain on the snowpack below 2200m. Almost all of the Fiordland snowpack is now going through a melt and freeze cycle. 28th Sept- Snow down to around 1400m, rain below that. Expect continued slab at high elevations and some loose snow activity at the mid elevations. 27th Sept - Snow down to around 400m with strong SW winds. 25th Sept- Snow down to about 1900m, rain below that. 22nd - About 5cm of snow down to 1100m, and strong W wind 21st Sept - About 50mm of rain 2100/2200m and below, most fell in 4 - 5 hours.

Snow quality

Fri 2nd October- public observation from Homer area, widespread natural activity in warm rain. Freezing level was about 2300m Mon 28th Sept - Some evidence of activity over the storm on Mon 27th. Pompolona ran to almost valley floor, sz 3-4 probably. Freezing level was about 2000m

Weather

Tuesday - Heavy rain in the morning and afternoon, and snow to 2200 metres, otherwise mostly cloudy with isolated showers.Wind at 1000 metres - Northwesterly gale 75 km/h, easing to westerly 30 km/h in the afternoon.Wind at 2000 metres - Northwesterly severe gale 95 km/h, easing to westerly 50 km/h in the afternoon.Freezing level - Above 3000 metres, lowering to 2400 metres in the morning.